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IDC must be on the Microsoft payroll, another day, another prediction Windows Phone will become relevant.

Quick!!! Direct all power to the reality distortion field!

I sort of wonder what's the point of such ridiculous predictions. Web traffic? There is clearly no basis for such a prediction, yet, the author safely picks a date years out into the future so that he can't be proven wrong immediately because, in 4 years time, anything is possible.

As a side note, these research companies doesn't exactly have a reliable track record. Below is an good example of Windows Phone predictions from these research companies and how they've panned out so far. Perhaps they think we've forgotten the garbage they've published.

http://www.globalner...ouve-forgotten/

This post has been edited by TechConc: 06 June 2012 - 06:45 AM

Wat...

windows phone will be another runaway success like Zune LOL
what planet are you writers on?

I am a Microsoft Developer by career but even I think that is just stupid. Unless Microsoft leaves the metro interface they have no chance of coming close to Android or iOS.

sickpup, on 06 June 2012 - 08:29 AM, said:

That's because you're lookign at it wrong. The issue isn't the UI, the issue is it featureset.

Microsoft is the ONLY company that can support the Enterprise properly. When/If they do, no other platform can ever match enterprise capabilities on an equal front and here is the simple reason why...COST!!!!

What you fans of other platforms dont get is, it cost Microsft almost nothing to support their own stuff. Anyone who wants to support MS offerings have to license it. Apple only license Exchange-Sync because it is required for the device to be able to sync with Exchange features. However, what Apple and Android offer is not 100%. Windows Mobile has always support the best features of Exchange. For Apple to support such and Android, it would bring up the cost of the device somewhere. Google doesn't license anything thus the support for Enterprise options is small or non-existent.

If Windows Phone 8 or 9 of whatever comes along between now and then, Microsoft is the only one who can support every existing and future solution 100%. Apple and Android doesn't support SharePoint, doesn't support Exchange complete, what about SQL and more?

RIM took MS by surprise because they did one thing. They offer the capability to work with Exchange, without licensing anything from MS. The found a way for BES to work with Exchange and give Blackberry access to Exchange-like features with their own services. Apple and Google offer nothing remotely close. All MS had to do is bring back Windows Mobile-like support to Windows 8 and the Enterprise will start to go back standard on Windows Phone. Microsoft right now is trying to appeal to consumers which In my opinion was a bad move. These consumers still see Windows as a business phone and thus don't buy them. Microsoft wanted to appeal to them bec they lost the business side to RIM. Now that RIM is down, MS needs to capitalize on that and earn some of that trust they lost by basically abandoning businesses by not ever updating Windows Mobile with better features.

Apple and Android cater mostly to consumers. Yes business do buy both, but not even remotely close to the same scale. Businesses still use Windows or Blackberry bec they ca have control over content on the devices that they simply dont have with Android and iOS.

This is what you blind faith followers never consider.
If MS can get just 5% of consumers, 5% of the business they lost to RIM, and use the almost 5% they have nw, they can get to 15% rather fast. The fact this anal-yst is saying 20% by 2016 is not to far fetched. They already predicted that SM could have 12% by 2014, they have nearly half that now. Look, they were late to the game and they took China from Apple.

Windows Phone has it hardest traction gain in the USA. The USA isn't the only country in the world. If just 50% of Nokia's original market takes Windows Phone, Apple is going to fall hard.

Apple can't compete in emerging markets with new models bec they are simply to expensive. They also can't keep up with that much demand with a single phone. Multiple models can be produced faster to deal with demand to where if one model isn't avail, you have an option. With Apple, if you can't find and iPhone, then you have no other Apple option.

With MS you have Sony, LG, Nokia, Samsung, HTC, Moto and more. This force of this many companies producing 10 million phones each, and Apple trying to compete on any equal front is simply IMPOSSIBLE. We are talking 8 OEM's at least already in countries Apple has yet to get too, or can't because they cost to much.

All one has to do is see how much an iPhone cost in Dubai, Philippines and similar markets and you will see why iPhone fails here and why Android and Nokia thrives there. When it comes to any market outside the USA, Nokia still has the advantage. I think it is bad they don't offer Android phones too along with Windows. But, if they gain just a fraction of that, they will be fine.

If you look at the market for people buying phones, it simply shows 70% of them can't have an iPhone for several reasons - cost, availability and more. It's that simple.

This post has been edited by QUADICON: 06 June 2012 - 09:56 AM

sickpup, on 06 June 2012 - 08:29 AM, said:

I am a MS developer too, are you really saying that Metro UI and the win phone UI, being so similar, won't bring new phone sales/users given that most people will have no choice but to get used to Metro? I'm not saying it will happen overnight but there will be a lot of people who only want to do the same actions the same way no matter the device.

TheWerewolf, on 06 June 2012 - 07:06 AM, said:

^h

Everyone is always going to have an opinion. You have those that are Apple patriots, Android patriots, and then there is windows. I really love the Microsoft products, because everything business related you do is almost 99% always on a microsoft product, such as Word, Excel, Exchange, and etc. So I mean what better phone to have for business than the phone created by the same people. You have full access to everything you need Microsoft related. I mean I do have a iPhone 4S just because I wanted to see what all the hype was about, and truthfully it was not enough to truly impress me! And one of the top reasons was for Siri which I have to admit was pretty kool in the store, then you get outside and try it, and it pisses me off more than makes my life easier! So I will probably be upgrading to a Windows Phone next... but again just my opinion!

QUADICON, on 06 June 2012 - 09:37 AM, said:

Is that like holding it wrong?