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iphone is outdated and boaring it's glory days are over

CyrusNoel, on 08 July 2012 - 08:43 AM, said:

What have male hogs have to do with it?

GradyPhilpott, on 08 July 2012 - 11:10 AM, said:

Good catch.
Although, I think it should be "what do mail hogs have to do with it."

matters to whom, not to me.

GradyPhilpott, on 08 July 2012 - 11:10 AM, said:

He used his Android smartphone to check out word definitions so please understand the confusion.

I can't possibly imagine Apple being able to sell a billion smartphones in the next few years. There will probably be an upper limit of about 150 million iPhones a year based on the current number of about 28 to 35 million per quarter. Already, analysts are pegging this quarter at the low mark. Dediu's numbers are definitely overzealous. Wall Street is betting on Apple to lose market share to both Android and Windows Phone over the next few years, so they certainly don't see what Dediu sees.

I believe Apple still has room to grow and the share price will rise somewhat, but this trillion dollar company stuff seems very unlikely. Apple's share price is just crawling along with no major catalyst in sight.

iPadRulezthe39netaghx, on 08 July 2012 - 03:40 PM, said:

Actually this quarter iPhones are expected to be lower than expected. This should be the same pre-release downturn that was experience last year. iPads are expected to be above expectations.

Well if you looked at your numbers of 150 million iPhones per year (assuming no growth which is unrealistic for iPhones, Androids or Win 8 based smartphones.) My calculator says it would take 6 2/3 years to reach a billion from zero. The iPhone has been selling for 5 years. Chances are it won't be that many years before they do hit a billion.

I guess you mean no catalyst other than iPhone 5, iPad 7" and maybe iTV. Granted all unknowns but isn't that what a "no major catalyst in sight" is?

CyrusNoel, on 08 July 2012 - 08:43 AM, said:

Keep dreaming, Cyrus. Maybe one day your dreams will come true. Until then, use whatever you want to use--Apple will keep doing its thing.

iPadRulezthe39netaghx, on 08 July 2012 - 03:40 PM, said:

Apple has already exceeded some hundreds of millions of iPhones over the years and I believe surpassed 65 million last year alone. If, as the writer was saying, Apple passes that 1 Billion mark within the next few years (meaning total sold, not yearly sales) then I believe he was quite correct.

michael1213, on 09 July 2012 - 08:40 AM, said:

I expect that could've been better phrased